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| Long-term bonds are currently experiencing irregular behavior that is impacting yield expectations, which introduces volatility in pricing. As market conditions shift, investor sentiment towards these bonds can vary significantly, leading to uncertainty about their future performance. The recent weighty event indicates that negative sentiment is prevalent, which may discourage investment in this asset class. Consequently, both macroeconomic shifts and interest rate changes play crucial roles in their valuation. The price action of Long-Term Treasuries (TLT) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.5 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at -0.2 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TLT is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.6 on 2025-12-09. The forces of Asset Sentiment (-2), and Asset Price Trend (-0.5) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), and Option Sentiment (0.9) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on TLT trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TLT | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | 0%(0%) | 87.96 | 10 | 0.09% | -0.22% | -0.5 | 0% | 0.2% | -0.3 | Short | 55% | -2 | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | 0%(0%) | 87.88 | 0 | -0.33% | -0.22% | -0.5 | 0% | 0.4% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 2.5 | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 0%(0%) | -1.4 | 0% | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-06 | 0%(0%) | -1.4 | 0% | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-05 | 0%(0%) | 88.17 | 2 | -0.46% | -0.11% | -1.4 | 0% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 2.5 | -2 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0%(0%) | 88.58 | 10 | -0.54% | 0% | -1.1 | -0.28% | 0.2% | 1.9 | Short | 60% | 7 | 2 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0%(0%) | 89.06 | 30 | 0.28% | 0% | -0.2 | -0.05% | 0.2% | 2 | Short | 55% | 7 | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | 0%(0%) | 88.81 | 19 | 0.05% | -0.11% | -0.5 | -0.13% | 0.1% | 2 | Short | 55% | 7 | 0 |