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| Treasury bonds are currently viewed as a bullish investment, particularly due to anticipated changes in interest rates which are expected to favor longer-duration securities. However, the recent behavior of long-term bonds has been irregular, leading to uncertainty around yield expectations. This dichotomy suggests a complex environment where positive sentiment coexists with concerns about volatility in bond yields. Investors should navigate these factors carefully as they assess their positions in long-term treasuries. The price action of Long-Term Treasuries (TLT) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -1.4 is very bearish. The market sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for TLT since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.4 on 2025-12-05. The forces of Asset Sentiment (2.5), Option Sentiment (0.9), and Price Level Sentiment (0.5) will drive up the price. The forces of and Asset Price Trend (-1.4) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on TLT trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TLT | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | 0%(0%) | 88.17 | 2 | -0.46% | -0.11% | -1.4 | 0% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 2.5 | -2 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0%(0%) | 88.58 | 10 | -0.54% | 0% | -1.1 | -0.28% | 0.2% | 1.9 | Short | 60% | 7 | 2 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0%(0%) | 89.06 | 30 | 0.28% | 0% | -0.2 | -0.05% | 0.2% | 2 | Short | 55% | 7 | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | 0%(0%) | 88.81 | 19 | 0.05% | -0.11% | -0.5 | -0.13% | 0.1% | 2 | Short | 55% | 7 | 0 |